Confirmations arrive: regrowing forests are absorbing only a small part of the carbon dioxide released by widespread deforestation in the Amazon.
It has just been published by Global Change Biology a new study by an international team of researchers from the UK and Brazil. The team used open source MapBiomas data to map the age, extent and carbon stock of secondary forests in the Brazilian Amazon between 1986 and 2017. After calculating the amount of carbon lost due to deforestation in the Amazon , scientists have found that, in more than 30 years, the regrowth of forests in the Brazilian Amazon offset less than 10% of the emissions due to the loss of ancient forests.
“Secondary” forests (areas of new forests growing on previously deforested land) are a key part of policies aimed at addressing net carbon emissions and mitigating climate change. In 2017 there were nearly 130.000 square kilometers of secondary forest in the Brazilian Amazon, roughly equivalent to the size of England.
Despite their scale and importance to climate goals, our understanding of secondary forests to tropical carbon balance is incomplete. It was unclear to what extent the carbon emissions of deforestation in the Amazon had been offset by secondary forest growth or how this had varied over time. Now we know: it's damn little.
Compensated for less than 10% of emissions
Secondary forests have tremendous potential for storing large amounts of carbon. However, it takes a long time to build this carbon stock, so without a drastic drop in the rate of deforestation, their environmental benefits will continue to be undermined.
Charlotte Smith, PhD researcher at Lancaster University and lead author of the study
Although a fifth of the cleared land is now covered by secondary forests, the researchers found that most of the secondary forests are relatively young: over 85% are under the age of 20 and nearly half (42%) are under the age of five.
Deforestation in the Amazon is also raging on secondary forests
This is because secondary forests are also prone to deforestation in the Amazon. They also repeatedly clear areas of land that have already been cleared, thus limiting their effectiveness as a carbon sink. "Of all secondary forests mapped over the 32-year period, 60% had been cleared again by 2017"Charlotte said.
The researchers then looked at other factors known to influence secondary forest growth and carbon uptake, such as climate, landscape and proximity to old-growth forests, which can act as a seed source.
They found that most of the secondary forests are located far from the primary forests, in the driest parts of the Amazon. These factors suggest that they are weaker in absorbing carbon.
The results show that there is an IMMEDIATE halt to deforestation in the Amazon, especially of ancient forests. It is essential, because the regrowth of forests alone is not enough to control the carbon emissions in the Amazon.
The co-author, Professor Jos Barlow, said: “While secondary forests can be an important part of the solution to climate change, it is also important not to overestimate their relevance. Deforestation rates in the Brazilian Amazon have exceeded 10.000 km2 last year. They will almost certainly surpass it again in 2020".
Preventing further deforestation in the Amazon remains the most pressing priority. One of the few hopes of mitigating the climate change.
Gianluca Riccio, born in 1975, is the creative director of an advertising agency, copywriter and journalist. He is affiliated with Italian Institute for the Future, World Future Society and H +, Network of Italian Transhumanists. Since 2006 he directs Futuroprossimo.it, the Italian resource of Futurology.
Futuroprossimo.it is an Italian resource of futurology opened since 2006: every day news about the near future. Scientific discoveries, medical research, prototypes, concepts and predictions about the future for free.
Gianluca Riccio, copywriter and journalist - Born in 1975, he is the creative director of an advertising agency, he is affiliated with the Italian Institute for the Future, World Future Society and H +, Network of Italian Transhumanists.