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Covid-19 Updates »

July 16 2020
in Weather

A scientist spends time predicting megadisasters from the end of the world

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A scientist spends time predicting megadisasters from the end of the world
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Gianluca Ricciodi Gianluca Riccio
2 minutes of reading
tags: apocalypseEnd of the worldMega Disasters

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Jeffrey Schlegelmilch is the director of the Columbia University facility that is "predicting and preventing" megadisasters from the end of the world.

Jeffrey Schlegelmilch Columbia University may have one of the most interesting jobs in science (or the most depressing, depending on your point of view).

As director of National Center for Disaster Preparedness of the university, Schlegelmilch spends a lot of time thinking about the end of the world. Ironically, he was revising the drafts of his book at the start of the pandemic, but biological devastation is only one of five categories of "mega-disasters" he is trying to prepare us for.

megadisasters from end of the world
The cover of Jeffrey Schlegelmilch's next book

Choose your poison

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The problem with predicting one of these megadisasters is that the world is changing at an ever faster rate. Many of the lessons the company has learned (or refused to learn) may not be valid in the future.

“The disasters we are witnessing are already different than in the past,” says Schlegelmilch. “More and more meteorological events, billions spent to face disasters, more lives lost”.

Resilient optimism

In addition to biological ones such as pandemics, Schlegelmilch's research also focuses on four other categories of megadisasters. Which ones are they? Nuclear war, collapse of crucial infrastructure (such as the electricity grid), climate changes and cyber warfare. To know them in detail, all we have to do is wait for their occurrence. No, I'm kidding. Just wait for the book to come out.

What distinguishes megadisasters from a dear old catastrophe of the past? 

Broadly speaking, Schlegelmilch thinks of end-of-the-world megadisasters as those that are so large as to disrupt the same systems designed to respond to disasters. 

Disasters with the power to change society. 

Things along the lines of the Death Star in Europe permanently alter the course of history. This is why he does not know if Covid-19 is "up to par".

"I am reluctant to put it in the same category as these others," Schlegelmilch said. "We still have time to reduce its impact if we are holistic in our perspective and collaborative in our approaches."

And if he can be optimistic ...

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The author

Gianluca Riccio, copywriter and journalist - Born in 1975, he is the creative director of an advertising agency, he is affiliated with the Italian Institute for the Future, World Future Society and H +, Network of Italian Transhumanists.

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